Today / Uzbekistan - Pro League A / Shortan vs Lochin

Shortan vs Lochin Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:30

Shortan

PPG 2.12 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWLL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Lochin

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLWW

// Model verdict

BTTS 53% chance

xG gap +0.33, combined xG 2.37 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-19.5%0-24.9%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.6%1-112.9%1-26.6%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.5%2-18.7%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.8%3-13.9%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.6% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 29.3% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 52.7% — — —

Home O1.5 38.0% — — —

Away O1.5 32.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -100.0%

Bet Hit 0%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 1–0 12.6%

#3 0–0 9.3%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shortan1.4

Lochin1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SHORTAN · PPG 2.12

LOCHIN · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

Chance this pick lands

53%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.33, combined xG 2.37 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Shortan (H) 43.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lochin (A) 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shortan face Lochin in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shortan a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Lochin 29%, so Shortan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Shortan and 1.0 for Lochin (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shortan are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 1.62 for Lochin. This match finished 0-1.

Shortan vs Lochin Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

More Uzbekistan - Pro League A Predictions