Today / Belarus - Vysshaya Liga / Dinamo Minsk vs Baranovichi

Dinamo Minsk vs Baranovichi Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:00

Dinamo Minsk logo
Dinamo Minsk
PPG 2.00 · HOME
LAST 5
DWWLL
0 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Baranovichi logo
Baranovichi
PPG 0.89 · AWAY
LAST 5
LDLDW

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.94 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.89 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-12.4%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.8%1-16.5%1-22.4%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.8%2-18.7%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.5%3-17.8%3-22.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-013.5%4+-110.0%4+-23.7%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 72.7%
Draw 16.7%
Away win 10.7%
Over 2.5 63.1%
Over 3.5 39.3%
BTTS 52.7%
Home O1.5 65.8%
Away O1.5 18.2%

League track record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5 43%
BTTS 48%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -48.9%
Bet Hit 27%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.8%
#2 3–0 10.5%
#3 2–1 8.7%
#4 1–1 6.5%
#5 1–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Minsk2.7
Baranovichi0.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO MINSK · PPG 2.00

BARANOVICHI · PPG 0.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.94 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.89 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Minsk (H) 72.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 16.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Baranovichi (A) 10.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Season Statistics average per match · 12 matches · 2026

Dinamo Minsk ▾ lower is better Baranovichi

Attack

0.0
Shots
0.0
2.0
Shots on target
1.8
2.1
Shots off target
1.6
1.0
Blocked shots
0.8
0.0
Shots inside box
0.0
0.0
Shots outside box
0.0
Shooting accuracy
85.7%
Goals per shot on target
81.0%
1.71
Goals
1.42
xG for 0·0 of 12

Defence

0.0
Shots faced
0.0
1.1
Shots on target faced
2.2
0.79
Goals conceded
1.83
xG against 0·0 of 12
0.0
Goalkeeper saves
0.0

Control

48.2%
Possession
44.4%
0
Passes
0
0
Accurate passes
0
Pass accuracy
2.1
Corners
1.8
2.1
Corners faced
3.1
0.6
Offsides
0.9

Discipline

3.9
Fouls
6.2
1.6
Yellow cards
1.5
0.00
Red cards
0.08

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Minsk face Baranovichi in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Minsk a 73% chance, the draw 17% and Baranovichi 11%, so Dinamo Minsk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Dinamo Minsk and 0.7 for Baranovichi (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Minsk are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.89 for Baranovichi. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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