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Dovo vs VV Scherpenzeel Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 12:30

Dovo

PPG 1.62 · HOME

LAST 5

DDL ··

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

VV Scherpenzeel

PPG 1.01 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWW ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-15.3%0-23.6%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.5%1-110.1%1-26.7%1-33.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.1%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.4%3-15.9%3-24.0%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.3%4+-22.9%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.7% — — —

Draw 23.9% — — —

Away win 29.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 27%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 27%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–2 6.7%

#4 2–0 7.1%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dovo1.9

VV Scherpenzeel1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DOVO · PPG 1.62

VV SCHERPENZEEL · PPG 1.01

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dovo (H) 46.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VV Scherpenzeel (A) 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dovo face VV Scherpenzeel in Netherlands - Derde Divisie on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dovo a 47% chance, the draw 24% and VV Scherpenzeel 29%, so Dovo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Dovo and 1.3 for VV Scherpenzeel (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dovo are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.01 for VV Scherpenzeel. This match finished 2-3.

Dovo vs VV Scherpenzeel Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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