← Back to picks 
Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30 
ADO 20 PPG 2.31 
VV Scherpenzeel PPG 1.13
Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30 ADO 20 PPG 2.311-0 HIT CS2
VV Scherpenzeel PPG 1.13Away· -0.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.62 -14.8%
Over 3.5 26.9% Odds: 2.46 -20.3%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.58 -16.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✔
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
ADO 20 1.54
VV Scherpenzeel 1.08
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -14.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.31) vs P(Home)=49.0%