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Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday Group A - 34 Sportpark de Bosk· Harkema Saturday, May 23, 2026 13:30
Harkemase Boys logo Harkemase Boys PPG 1.50
4-1 MISS
Sportlust logo Sportlust PPG 1.25
Draw· -1.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.0%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -4.0%
Draw 25.8%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -1.2%
Away 26.2%
Odds: 2.88 EV: -14.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.44 -14.9%
Over 3.5 36.3% Odds: 2.10 -23.8%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.38 -17.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Harkemase Boys
1.70
Sportlust
1.35

Model Suggestion

BTTS -17.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -17.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

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