USV Hercules vs Harkemase Boys Prediction & Tips

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Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday Group A - 33 Sportpark Voordorp· Utrecht Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30

USV Hercules PPG 1.88

4-0 MISS

Harkemase Boys PPG 1.56

Away· +16.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.6%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -29.1%

Draw 24.8%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -6.4%

Away 40.6%

Odds: 2.88 EV: +16.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.57 -7.2%

Over 3.5 34.6% Odds: 2.35 -18.7%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.48 -11.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

USV Hercules

1.37

Harkemase Boys

1.60

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 63%

BTTS/No 51%

Score Hit 43%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away GOOD (1.56)