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SC Genemuiden vs Eemdijk Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 12:30

SC Genemuiden

PPG 1.86 · HOME

LAST 5

WWW ··

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Eemdijk

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWL ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-13.9%0-22.7%0-31.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-06.1%1-18.5%1-25.9%1-32.7%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.7%2-19.3%2-26.5%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.9%3-16.8%3-24.7%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-16.2%4+-24.3%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.4% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 24.2% — — —

Over 2.5 64.2% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 65.7% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 27%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 27%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 3–1✓ 6.8%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SC Genemuiden2.2

Eemdijk1.4

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SC GENEMUIDEN · PPG 1.86

EEMDIJK · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

SC Genemuiden (H) 53.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eemdijk (A) 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SC Genemuiden face Eemdijk in Netherlands - Derde Divisie on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SC Genemuiden a 53% chance, the draw 22% and Eemdijk 24%, so SC Genemuiden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for SC Genemuiden and 1.4 for Eemdijk (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SC Genemuiden are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.30 for Eemdijk. This match finished 3-1.

SC Genemuiden vs Eemdijk Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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