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Eskilsminne vs Hässleholms IF Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra · Matchday 19 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 11:00

Eskilsminne

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWDL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Hässleholms IF

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.8% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-15.7%0-25.5%0-33.5%0-4+2.7%1 1-04.7%1-19.1%1-28.7%1-35.6%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.7%2-17.2%2-27.0%2-34.5%2-4+3.4%3 3-02.0%3-13.8%3-23.7%3-32.4%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.2%4+-22.1%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.9% 42.6% 2.35 -22.7%

Draw 22.9% 27.8% 3.60 -10.5%

Away win 44.2% 40.0% 2.50 +10.5%

Over 2.5 63.8% 64.5% 1.55 -1.1%

Over 3.5 43.2% 42.0% 2.38 +2.8%

BTTS 63.1% 69.0% 1.45 -8.5%

Home O1.5 48.0% 52.4% 1.91 -8.3%

Away O1.5 56.9% 51.3% 1.95 +10.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 89 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -0.4%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.1%

A 44% / xG 1.6-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 1–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eskilsminne1.6

Hässleholms IF1.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ESKILSMINNE · PPG 1.67

HÄSSLEHOLMS IF · PPG 1.89

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.34 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Eskilsminne (H) 32.9%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -22.7%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -10.5%

Hässleholms IF (A) 44.2%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +10.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eskilsminne face Hässleholms IF in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eskilsminne a 33% chance, the draw 23% and Hässleholms IF 44%, so Hässleholms IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Eskilsminne and 1.9 for Hässleholms IF (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eskilsminne are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.89 for Hässleholms IF. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +42.8%. This match finished 0-2.

Eskilsminne vs Hässleholms IF Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

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