Montego Bay vs Tivoli Gardens Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

Montego Bay face Tivoli Gardens on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Montego Bay a 81% chance, the draw 13% and Tivoli Gardens 6%, so Montego Bay are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Montego Bay and 0.6 for Tivoli Gardens (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Montego Bay are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.94 for Tivoli Gardens.