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Haman vs Sejong SA Prediction— South-Korea - K4 League

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 10:00

Haman

PPG 0.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sejong SA

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.9% vs bookmaker-implied 62.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-18.9%0-27.4%0-34.1%0-4+2.5%1 1-06.7%1-111.2%1-29.4%1-35.2%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.2%2-17.1%2-25.9%2-33.3%2-4+2.0%3 3-01.8%3-13.0%3-22.5%3-31.4%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.2%4+-21.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% 30.8% 3.25 +2.7%

Draw 25.1% 28.6% 3.50 -7.3%

Away win 43.3% 52.6% 1.90 -17.7%

Over 2.5 60.7% 57.1% 1.75 +6.2%

Over 3.5 37.5% 37.0% 2.70 +1.3%

BTTS 60.9% 62.1% 1.61 -1.9%

Home O1.5 38.3% 38.3% 2.61 -0.0%

Away O1.5 49.0% 53.2% 1.88 -7.9%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob60.9%

A 43% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–2 7.4%

#4 0–1 8.9%

#5 2–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haman1.3

Sejong SA1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HAMAN · PPG 0.57

SEJONG SA · PPG 1.29

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Haman (H) 31.6%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +2.7%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -7.3%

Sejong SA (A) 43.3%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -17.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Haman face Sejong SA in South-Korea - K4 League on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haman a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Sejong SA 43%, so Sejong SA are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Haman and 1.7 for Sejong SA (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haman are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.29 for Sejong SA. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.2%.

Haman vs Sejong SA Prediction— South-Korea - K4 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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