Today / Belgium - Reserve Pro League / RFC de Liege U21 vs RFC Seraing Reserve U21

RFC de Liege U21 vs RFC Seraing Reserve U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Matchday 1 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 18:00

RFC de Liege U21

PPG 0.85 · HOME

LAST 5

L ····

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

RFC Seraing Reserve U21

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

LAST 5

W ····

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-13.4%0-24.8%0-34.6%0-4+6.6%1 1-01.9%1-15.3%1-27.6%1-37.3%1-4+10.4%2 2-01.5%2-14.2%2-26.0%2-35.7%2-4+8.2%3 3-00.8%3-12.2%3-23.2%3-33.0%3-4+4.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-11.2%4+-21.8%4+-31.7%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.8% — — —

Draw 16.7% — — —

Away win 59.4% — — —

Over 2.5 72.0% — — —

Over 3.5 52.0% — — —

BTTS 69.2% — — —

Home O1.5 47.2% — — —

Away O1.5 71.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 91%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 32%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2✓ 7.6%

#2 1–3 7.3%

#3 1–1 5.3%

#4 2–2 6.0%

#5 2–1 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RFC de Liege U211.6

RFC Seraing Reserve U212.9

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RFC DE LIEGE U21 · PPG 0.85

RFC SERAING RESERVE U21 · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.28 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

RFC de Liege U21 (H) 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

RFC Seraing Reserve U21 (A) 59.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

RFC de Liege U21 face RFC Seraing Reserve U21 in Belgium - Reserve Pro League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RFC de Liege U21 a 24% chance, the draw 17% and RFC Seraing Reserve U21 59%, so RFC Seraing Reserve U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for RFC de Liege U21 and 2.9 for RFC Seraing Reserve U21 (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RFC de Liege U21 are averaging 0.85 points per game versus 1.45 for RFC Seraing Reserve U21. This match finished 1-2.

RFC de Liege U21 vs RFC Seraing Reserve U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Belgium - Reserve Pro League Predictions