Today / Belgium - Reserve Pro League / RAAL La Louviere U21 vs Waasland-Beveren U21

RAAL La Louviere U21 vs Waasland-Beveren U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Matchday 1 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 18:30

RAAL La Louviere U21

PPG 1.55 · HOME

LAST 5

W ····

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Waasland-Beveren U21

PPG 1.34 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.2% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.3%0-22.9%0-31.7%0-4+1.1%1 1-04.3%1-17.4%1-26.4%1-33.7%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.7%2-18.2%2-27.1%2-34.1%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.5%3-16.0%3-25.2%3-33.0%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-15.6%4+-24.9%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.5% 47.6% 2.10 +1.8%

Draw 22.2% 23.8% 4.20 -4.1%

Away win 29.4% 40.0% 2.50 -15.9%

Over 2.5 68.2% 76.9% 1.30 -11.3%

Over 3.5 48.2% 56.8% 1.76 -15.2%

BTTS 66.3% 78.7% 1.27 -15.8%

Home O1.5 65.8% 65.4% 1.53 +0.7%

Away O1.5 47.9% 57.1% 1.75 -16.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 91%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob66.3%

H 48% / xG 2.2-1.7 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.4%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.4%

#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RAAL La Louviere U212.2

Waasland-Beveren U211.7

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RAAL LA LOUVIERE U21 · PPG 1.55

WAASLAND-BEVEREN U21 · PPG 1.34

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.47 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

RAAL La Louviere U21 (H) 48.5%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +1.8%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -4.1%

Waasland-Beveren U21 (A) 29.4%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -15.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

RAAL La Louviere U21 face Waasland-Beveren U21 in Belgium - Reserve Pro League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RAAL La Louviere U21 a 49% chance, the draw 22% and Waasland-Beveren U21 29%, so RAAL La Louviere U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for RAAL La Louviere U21 and 1.7 for Waasland-Beveren U21 (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RAAL La Louviere U21 are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.34 for Waasland-Beveren U21. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +0.7%. This match finished 3-2.

RAAL La Louviere U21 vs Waasland-Beveren U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Belgium - Reserve Pro League Predictions