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Ind. Yumbo vs Leones FC Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Clausura · Matchday 7 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 20:30

Ind. Yumbo

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWLW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Leones FC

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDLL

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.83 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-18.0%0-22.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.6%1-111.1%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-17.8%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.4%3-13.6%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-11.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.1% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 21.3% — — —

Over 2.5 43.1% — — —

Over 3.5 20.7% — — —

BTTS 44.4% — — —

Home O1.5 39.3% — — —

Away O1.5 15.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -32.5%

Bet Hit 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 19.6%

#2 0–0 14.1%

#3 2–0 13.7%

#4 1–1 11.1%

#5 0–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ind. Yumbo1.4

Leones FC0.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

IND. YUMBO · PPG 1.33

LEONES FC · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.83 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Ind. Yumbo (H) 52.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Leones FC (A) 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ind. Yumbo face Leones FC in Colombia - Primera B on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ind. Yumbo a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Leones FC 21%, so Ind. Yumbo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ind. Yumbo and 0.6 for Leones FC (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ind. Yumbo are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.10 for Leones FC. This match finished 1-0.

Ind. Yumbo vs Leones FC Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

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