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Sepahan FC vs Gol Gohar Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 16:00

Sepahan FC

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLW ·

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Gol Gohar

PPG 1.32 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.6%0-115.9%0-26.8%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.4%1-113.1%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-06.4%2-15.4%2-22.3%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.8%3-11.5%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.8% 56.5% 1.77 -45.5%

Draw 32.8% 32.3% 3.10 +1.7%

Away win 36.4% 21.7% 4.60 +67.4%

Over 2.5 34.2% 40.8% 2.45 -16.2%

Over 3.5 18.0% 22.2% 4.50 -11.4%

BTTS 43.0% 47.6% 2.10 -9.7%

Home O1.5 30.9% 46.5% 2.15 -33.6%

Away O1.5 23.8% 22.2% 4.50 +4.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob43.0%

D 33% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.6%

#2 0–1 15.9%

#3 1–0 15.4%

#4 1–1 13.1%

#5 0–2 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sepahan FC0.8

Gol Gohar0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SEPAHAN FC · PPG 1.33

GOL GOHAR · PPG 1.32

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.03, combined xG 1.68 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sepahan FC (H) 30.8%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -45.5%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +1.7%

Gol Gohar (A) 36.4%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +67.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sepahan FC face Gol Gohar in Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sepahan FC a 31% chance, the draw 33% and Gol Gohar 36%, so Gol Gohar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Sepahan FC and 0.9 for Gol Gohar (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sepahan FC are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.32 for Gol Gohar. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +12.0%. This match finished 2-0.

Sepahan FC vs Gol Gohar Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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