Today / A. Contractors vs Al Ittihad

A. Contractors vs Al Ittihad Prediction

Thursday, April 23, 2026

A. Contractors

PPG 0.92 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Al Ittihad

PPG 0.77 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.8%0-110.5%0-22.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.6%1-111.4%1-23.0%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.8%2-16.2%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.3%3-12.3%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% — — —

Draw 33.0% — — —

Away win 17.8% — — —

Over 2.5 22.1% — — —

Over 3.5 8.1% — — —

BTTS 27.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob27.2%

H 49% / xG 1.1-0.5 / U2.5 22% / NoBTTS 27%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.6%

#2 0–0✓ 19.8%

#3 2–0 11.8%

#4 1–1 11.4%

#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Contractors1.1

Al Ittihad0.5

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 22.1% · O3.5 PROB 8.1%

Form & verdict PPG

A. CONTRACTORS · PPG 0.92

AL ITTIHAD · PPG 0.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.92), Away POOR (0.77)

Win probability 1X2

A. Contractors (H) 49.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Ittihad (A) 17.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Contractors face Al Ittihad on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Contractors a 49% chance, the draw 33% and Al Ittihad 18%, so A. Contractors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for A. Contractors and 0.5 for Al Ittihad (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 22% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 27% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Contractors are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 0.77 for Al Ittihad. This match finished 0-0.

A. Contractors vs Al Ittihad Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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