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Negeri Sembilan vs Kuala Lumpur FA Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 09:00

Negeri Sembilan

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

L ····

UPCOMING

Kuala Lumpur FA

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

LAST 5

LW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.3% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-17.5%0-25.3%0-32.6%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.9%1-111.4%1-28.1%1-33.9%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.0%2-18.6%2-26.2%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.1%3-14.4%3-23.1%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.3%4+-21.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.8% 40.8% 2.45 +2.4%

Draw 24.0% 32.3% 3.10 -15.4%

Away win 34.2% 40.0% 2.50 -14.5%

Over 2.5 59.7% 58.8% 1.70 +1.5%

Over 3.5 36.6% 37.0% 2.70 -1.2%

BTTS 61.3% 64.5% 1.55 -5.0%

Home O1.5 40.0% 46.1% 2.17 -13.2%

Away O1.5 41.2% 45.2% 2.21 -8.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.3%

H 42% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 1–0 7.9%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Negeri Sembilan1.5

Kuala Lumpur FA1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

NEGERI SEMBILAN · PPG 1.50

KUALA LUMPUR FA · PPG 1.71

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Negeri Sembilan (H) 41.8%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +2.4%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -15.4%

Kuala Lumpur FA (A) 34.2%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -14.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Negeri Sembilan face Kuala Lumpur FA in Malaysia - Super League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Negeri Sembilan a 42% chance, the draw 24% and Kuala Lumpur FA 34%, so Negeri Sembilan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Negeri Sembilan and 1.4 for Kuala Lumpur FA (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Negeri Sembilan are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.71 for Kuala Lumpur FA. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.5%.

Negeri Sembilan vs Kuala Lumpur FA Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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