PSM face Persik Kediri on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PSM a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Persik Kediri 20%, so PSM are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for PSM and 1.0 for Persik Kediri (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PSM are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 0.50 for Persik Kediri. This match finished 3-1.
Home slight advantage: POOR (0.86) > Away POOR (0.50)