Today / Belgium - First Amateur Division / Tubize vs Sporting Charleroi II
Tubize vs Sporting Charleroi II Prediction— Belgium - First Amateur Division
ACFF · Matchday 1 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 18:00
// Model verdict
BTTS
Model probability 59.9% vs bookmaker-implied 55.2% — a real, if thin, edge.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 53% / xG 2.0-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.0%
Form & verdict
TUBIZE · PPG 1.99
SPORTING CHARLEROI II · PPG 1.54
xG gap +0.82 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Tubize face Sporting Charleroi II in Belgium - First Amateur Division on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tubize a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Sporting Charleroi II 24%, so Tubize are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Tubize and 1.1 for Sporting Charleroi II (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tubize are averaging 1.99 points per game versus 1.54 for Sporting Charleroi II. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +33.7%. This match finished 1-0.