Today / Kickers Emden vs Werder Bremen B

Kickers Emden vs Werder Bremen B Prediction

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Kickers Emden

PPG 1.21 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Werder Bremen B

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.21), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-15.9%0-23.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.2%1-110.7%1-26.2%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.4%2-19.7%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.1%3-15.9%3-23.4%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-14.1%4+-22.4%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.7% — — —

Draw 23.0% — — —

Away win 24.3% — — —

Over 2.5 57.3% — — —

Over 3.5 34.9% — — —

BTTS 57.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob57.6%

H 53% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 1–0 9.2%

#4 2–0 8.4%

#5 1–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kickers Emden1.8

Werder Bremen B1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KICKERS EMDEN · PPG 1.21

WERDER BREMEN B · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.21), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Kickers Emden (H) 52.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Werder Bremen B (A) 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kickers Emden face Werder Bremen B on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kickers Emden a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Werder Bremen B 24%, so Kickers Emden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Kickers Emden and 1.2 for Werder Bremen B (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kickers Emden are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.00 for Werder Bremen B. This match finished 4-0.

Kickers Emden vs Werder Bremen B Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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