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DC Power W vs F. Lauderdale W Prediction— USA - USL Super League

Regular Season - 27 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 23:00

DC Power W

PPG 0.73 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

F. Lauderdale W

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 53.7% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-16.7%0-23.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.4%1-111.4%1-25.7%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.7%2-19.7%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.5%3-15.5%3-22.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-13.4%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% 61.7% 1.62 -13.0%

Draw 24.0% 29.4% 3.40 -18.4%

Away win 22.2% 21.7% 4.60 +2.1%

Over 2.5 50.6% — — —

Over 3.5 28.6% — — —

BTTS 51.7% 54.6% 1.83 -5.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 52.9%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.7%

H 54% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–0 11.4%

#3 2–1 9.7%

#4 2–0 9.7%

#5 0–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

DC Power W1.7

F. Lauderdale W1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DC POWER W · PPG 0.73

F. LAUDERDALE W · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.73) vs Away AVERAGE (1.09)

Win probability 1X2

DC Power W (H) 53.7%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -13.0%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -18.4%

F. Lauderdale W (A) 22.2%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +2.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

DC Power W face F. Lauderdale W in USA - USL Super League on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives DC Power W a 54% chance, the draw 24% and F. Lauderdale W 22%, so DC Power W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for DC Power W and 1.0 for F. Lauderdale W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, DC Power W are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 1.09 for F. Lauderdale W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +2.1%. This match finished 4-0.

DC Power W vs F. Lauderdale W Prediction— USA - USL Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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