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Andijan vs Xorazm Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Matchday 19 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 14:00

Andijan

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Xorazm

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDLL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 51.9% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-17.1%0-22.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.5%1-111.5%1-24.6%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.7%2-19.3%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.3%3-15.0%3-22.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-12.9%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.9% 59.9% 1.67 -13.3%

Draw 24.3% 32.3% 3.10 -14.8%

Away win 23.9% 21.1% 4.75 +8.1%

Over 2.5 50.5% 47.6% 2.10 +6.0%

Over 3.5 28.7% 27.9% 3.58 +1.7%

BTTS 50.4% 51.3% 1.95 -1.7%

Home O1.5 48.9% 53.2% 1.88 -8.1%

Away O1.5 23.4% 23.1% 4.33 +0.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 4.6%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob50.4%

H 52% / xG 1.6-0.8 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 14.5%

#2 1–1 11.5%

#3 2–0 11.7%

#4 0–0 9.0%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Andijan1.6

Xorazm0.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ANDIJAN · PPG 1.44

XORAZM · PPG 0.78

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.82 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Andijan (H) 51.9%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -13.3%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.8%

Xorazm (A) 23.9%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +8.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Andijan face Xorazm in Uzbekistan - Super League on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Andijan a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Xorazm 24%, so Andijan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Andijan and 0.8 for Xorazm (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Andijan are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.78 for Xorazm. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +10.6%. This match finished 1-0.

Andijan vs Xorazm Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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