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Kokand-1912 vs Buxoro Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Matchday 19 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 14:00

Kokand-1912

PPG 1.38 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWWD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Buxoro

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-112.7%0-28.2%0-33.5%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.1%1-113.1%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.2%2-16.7%2-24.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.8%3-12.3%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.3% 41.7% 2.40 -27.3%

Draw 27.1% 34.7% 2.88 -13.2%

Away win 42.6% 37.0% 2.70 +15.0%

Over 2.5 50.5% 46.5% 2.15 +8.6%

Over 3.5 28.7% 26.7% 3.74 +4.4%

BTTS 52.7% 54.6% 1.83 -3.6%

Home O1.5 30.9% 39.4% 2.54 -21.5%

Away O1.5 36.6% 35.7% 2.80 +2.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 4.6%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.7%

A 43% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.1%

#2 0–1 12.7%

#3 0–0 9.8%

#4 1–0 10.1%

#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kokand-19121.0

Buxoro1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KOKAND-1912 · PPG 1.38

BUXORO · PPG 1.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.26, combined xG 2.32 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kokand-1912 (H) 30.3%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -27.3%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -13.2%

Buxoro (A) 42.6%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +15.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kokand-1912 face Buxoro in Uzbekistan - Super League on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kokand-1912 a 30% chance, the draw 27% and Buxoro 43%, so Buxoro are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kokand-1912 and 1.3 for Buxoro (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kokand-1912 are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.00 for Buxoro. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +10.7%. This match finished 1-1.

Kokand-1912 vs Buxoro Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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