Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

Barcelona SC face Mushuc Runa in Ecuador - Liga Pro on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Barcelona SC a 67% chance, the draw 22% and Mushuc Runa 11%, so Barcelona SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Barcelona SC and 0.5 for Mushuc Runa (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Barcelona SC are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.50 for Mushuc Runa. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +8.2%. This match finished 2-1.