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Gol Gohar vs Chadormalu SC Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 16:30

Gol Gohar

PPG 1.89 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWLL

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Chadormalu SC

PPG 1.19 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.0%0-111.4%0-23.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.4%1-111.6%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.8%2-15.9%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.7%3-12.0%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.8% 40.2% 2.49 +11.6%

Draw 33.8% 32.8% 3.05 +3.1%

Away win 21.4% 38.2% 2.62 -26.4%

Over 2.5 34.2% 39.7% 2.52 -13.8%

Over 3.5 14.2% 20.4% 4.90 -18.3%

BTTS 41.6% 47.8% 2.09 -13.1%

Home O1.5 30.9% 33.6% 2.98 -7.9%

Away O1.5 15.1% 31.8% 3.14 -31.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob41.6%

H 45% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.0%

#2 1–0 21.4%

#3 1–1 11.6%

#4 0–1 11.4%

#5 2–0 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gol Gohar1.0

Chadormalu SC0.5

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GOL GOHAR · PPG 1.89

CHADORMALU SC · PPG 1.19

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.47, combined xG 1.56 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gol Gohar (H) 44.8%

ODDS 2.49 · IMPLIED 40.2% EV +11.6%

Draw 33.8%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +3.1%

Chadormalu SC (A) 21.4%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -26.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gol Gohar face Chadormalu SC in Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gol Gohar a 45% chance, the draw 34% and Chadormalu SC 21%, so Gol Gohar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Gol Gohar and 0.5 for Chadormalu SC (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gol Gohar are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.19 for Chadormalu SC. This match finished 3-0.

Gol Gohar vs Chadormalu SC Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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