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Kheybar Khorramabad vs Paykan Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 16:00

Kheybar Khorramabad

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLD ·

2 – 3

FULL TIME

Paykan

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWD ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.9%0-19.6%0-22.7%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.4%1-111.6%1-23.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.4%2-17.0%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.0%3-12.8%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.1%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.9% 39.1% 2.56 +22.6%

Draw 31.2% 39.1% 2.56 -20.1%

Away win 20.9% 32.1% 3.12 -20.9%

Over 2.5 34.2% 28.6% 3.50 +19.7%

Over 3.5 18.0% 12.8% 7.80 +24.2%

BTTS 42.6% 37.9% 2.64 +12.5%

Home O1.5 32.7% 26.0% 3.84 +25.6%

Away O1.5 15.4% 22.0% 4.55 -18.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob42.6%

H 48% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.4%

#2 0–0 16.9%

#3 1–1 11.6%

#4 2–0 12.4%

#5 0–1 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kheybar Khorramabad1.2

Paykan0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KHEYBAR KHORRAMABAD · PPG 1.42

PAYKAN · PPG 0.93

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kheybar Khorramabad (H) 47.9%

ODDS 2.56 · IMPLIED 39.1% EV +22.6%

Draw 31.2%

ODDS 2.56 · IMPLIED 39.1% EV -20.1%

Paykan (A) 20.9%

ODDS 3.12 · IMPLIED 32.1% EV -20.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kheybar Khorramabad face Paykan in Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kheybar Khorramabad a 48% chance, the draw 31% and Paykan 21%, so Kheybar Khorramabad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kheybar Khorramabad and 0.6 for Paykan (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kheybar Khorramabad are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 0.93 for Paykan. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +35.8%. This match finished 2-3.

Kheybar Khorramabad vs Paykan Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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