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Tractor Sazi vs Persepolis FC Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 15:00

Tractor Sazi

PPG 2.08 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWD

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Persepolis FC

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLW ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-18.3%0-23.1%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.2%1-112.0%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.7%2-18.7%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.6%3-14.2%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% 44.1% 2.27 +12.4%

Draw 27.0% 32.5% 3.08 -10.1%

Away win 23.5% 34.5% 2.90 -19.1%

Over 2.5 44.6% 43.7% 2.29 +2.1%

Over 3.5 24.8% 23.0% 4.35 +4.7%

BTTS 47.2% 51.5% 1.94 -8.4%

Home O1.5 40.1% 38.3% 2.61 +4.7%

Away O1.5 18.5% 31.8% 3.14 -25.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.2%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 16.2%

#2 1–1 12.0%

#3 0–0 11.2%

#4 2–0 11.7%

#5 0–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tractor Sazi1.4

Persepolis FC0.7

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.6% · O3.5 PROB 24.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TRACTOR SAZI · PPG 2.08

PERSEPOLIS FC · PPG 1.57

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.70 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tractor Sazi (H) 49.5%

ODDS 2.27 · IMPLIED 44.1% EV +12.4%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.08 · IMPLIED 32.5% EV -10.1%

Persepolis FC (A) 23.5%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -19.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tractor Sazi face Persepolis FC in Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tractor Sazi a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Persepolis FC 24%, so Tractor Sazi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Tractor Sazi and 0.7 for Persepolis FC (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tractor Sazi are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 1.57 for Persepolis FC. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +4.7%. This match finished 1-0.

Tractor Sazi vs Persepolis FC Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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