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Ecuador - Liga Pro logo Ecuador flag Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 10 Alejandro Serrano Aguilar· Cuenca Wednesday, April 22, 2026 20:30
D. Cuenca logo D. Cuenca PPG 1.25
1-3 MISS
Orense logo Orense PPG 0.25
Over3.5· +85.2% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 77.6%
Odds: 1.97 EV: +52.9%
Draw 14.2%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -52.4%
Away 8.2%
Odds: 3.85 EV: -68.4%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.9% Odds: 2.20 +45.0%
Over 3.5 44.1% Odds: 4.20 +85.2%
BTTS 49.1% Odds: 1.91 -6.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

D. Cuenca
2.64
Orense
0.75

Model Suggestion

Home +52.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+85.2%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.25), Away POOR (0.25) - Strong consensus

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