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TransINVEST Vilnius vs Šiauliai Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Monday, August 24, 2026, 15:45

TransINVEST Vilnius

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDW

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Šiauliai

PPG 0.54 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWLL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.25 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-14.3%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.5%1-19.2%1-24.1%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.2%2-19.8%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.9%3-17.0%3-23.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-16.1%4+-22.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.6% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 21.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 54.3% — — —

Home O1.5 59.6% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 37%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -25.8%

Bet Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–0 11.2%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 3–0✓ 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TransINVEST Vilnius2.1

Šiauliai0.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TRANSINVEST VILNIUS · PPG 1.50

ŠIAULIAI · PPG 0.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.25 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

TransINVEST Vilnius (H) 56.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Šiauliai (A) 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TransINVEST Vilnius face Šiauliai in Lithuania - A Lyga on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TransINVEST Vilnius a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Šiauliai 21%, so TransINVEST Vilnius are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for TransINVEST Vilnius and 0.9 for Šiauliai (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TransINVEST Vilnius are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.54 for Šiauliai. This match finished 3-0.

TransINVEST Vilnius vs Šiauliai Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Match Preview & Prediction

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