Today / Colombia - Primera A / Deportivo Cali vs Internacional de Bogota

Deportivo Cali vs Internacional de Bogota Prediction— Colombia - Primera A

Clausura · Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 23:10

Deportivo Cali

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDLD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Internacional de Bogota

PPG 0.85 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDDDD

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 59.2% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-15.2%0-21.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.1%1-19.5%1-22.8%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.9%2-18.8%2-22.6%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.2%3-15.4%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.5%4+-13.8%4+-21.1%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.2% 63.7% 1.57 -7.1%

Draw 24.0% 28.6% 3.50 -9.6%

Away win 16.8% 16.7% 6.00 +0.5%

Over 2.5 50.1% 47.6% 2.10 +5.2%

Over 3.5 28.1% 26.7% 3.75 +3.2%

BTTS 47.6% 47.6% 2.10 -0.0%

Home O1.5 54.9% 55.6% 1.80 -1.2%

Away O1.5 16.4% 16.7% 6.00 -1.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 0.6%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.6%

H 59% / xG 1.8-0.6 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.9%

#2 1–0 16.1%

#3 1–1 9.5%

#4 0–0 8.7%

#5 3–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Cali1.8

Internacional de Bogota0.6

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO CALI · PPG 2.00

INTERNACIONAL DE BOGOTA · PPG 0.85

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.26 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Cali (H) 59.2%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -7.1%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -9.6%

Internacional de Bogota (A) 16.8%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Cali face Internacional de Bogota in Colombia - Primera A on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Cali a 59% chance, the draw 24% and Internacional de Bogota 17%, so Deportivo Cali are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Deportivo Cali and 0.6 for Internacional de Bogota (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Cali are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.85 for Internacional de Bogota. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +9.7%. This match finished 2-2.

Deportivo Cali vs Internacional de Bogota Prediction— Colombia - Primera A

Match Preview & Prediction

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