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Ipswich Town W vs Sheffield Utd W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

Regular Season - 16 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 18:00

Ipswich Town W

PPG 0.89 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Sheffield Utd W

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 56.3% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-19.2%0-26.8%0-33.4%0-4+1.8%1 1-08.0%1-111.9%1-28.9%1-34.4%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.2%2-17.7%2-25.7%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.2%3-13.3%3-22.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.4%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.0% 42.0% 2.38 -21.5%

Draw 25.2% 34.5% 2.90 -26.9%

Away win 41.8% 36.4% 2.75 +14.9%

Over 2.5 52.7% — — —

Over 3.5 30.5% — — —

BTTS 56.3% 57.8% 1.73 -2.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 85%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 25.1%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob56.3%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 0–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 8.9%

#4 1–0 8.0%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ipswich Town W1.3

Sheffield Utd W1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.7% · O3.5 PROB 30.5%

Form & verdict PPG

IPSWICH TOWN W · PPG 0.89

SHEFFIELD UTD W · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.89), Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Ipswich Town W (H) 33.0%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -21.5%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -26.9%

Sheffield Utd W (A) 41.8%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +14.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ipswich Town W face Sheffield Utd W in England - Women's Championship on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ipswich Town W a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Sheffield Utd W 42%, so Sheffield Utd W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ipswich Town W and 1.5 for Sheffield Utd W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ipswich Town W are averaging 0.89 points per game versus 0.67 for Sheffield Utd W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.9%. This match finished 4-1.

Ipswich Town W vs Sheffield Utd W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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