Smouha vs Ceramica C. Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Egypt - Premier League Championship Group - 3 Borg El Arab Stadium· Alexandria Wednesday, April 22, 2026 18:00

Smouha PPG 1.64

0-2 MISS

Ceramica C. PPG 1.45

Home· +27.0% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Smouha face Ceramica C. in Egypt - Premier League on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Smouha a 43% chance, the draw 34% and Ceramica C. 24%, so Smouha are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Smouha and 0.7 for Ceramica C. (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 31% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Smouha are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.45 for Ceramica C.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +27.0%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.6%

Odds: 2.98 EV: +27.0%

Draw 33.7%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -2.3%

Away 23.8%

Odds: 2.44 EV: -41.9%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 23.5% Odds: 2.65 -37.7%

Over 3.5 8.9% Odds: 5.25 -53.3%

BTTS 30.9% Odds: 2.10 -35.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Smouha

1.00

Ceramica C.

0.67

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 4.4%

Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away AVERAGE (1.45)