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Viborg vs Brondby IF Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Championship Group · Matchday 28 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 18:00

Viborg

PPG 1.54 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDLL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Brondby IF

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLWL

// Model verdict

BTTS 63% chance

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-110.8%0-28.0%0-34.0%0-4+2.1%1 1-08.2%1-112.2%1-29.1%1-34.5%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.7%2-17.0%2-25.2%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.8%3-12.6%3-22.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.9% 44.4% 2.25 -35.0%

Draw 25.7% 27.8% 3.60 -7.5%

Away win 45.4% 34.5% 2.90 +31.7%

Over 2.5 48.9% 61.7% 1.62 -20.8%

Over 3.5 27.0% 39.2% 2.55 -31.1%

BTTS 52.6% 67.6% 1.48 -22.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.6%

A 45% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 0–1✓ 10.8%

#3 1–2 9.1%

#4 1–0 8.2%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viborg1.1

Brondby IF1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 27.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VIBORG · PPG 1.54

BRONDBY IF · PPG 1.31

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

63%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.54), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Viborg (H) 28.9%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -35.0%

Draw 25.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.5%

Brondby IF (A) 45.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +31.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Viborg face Brondby IF in Denmark - Superliga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viborg a 29% chance, the draw 26% and Brondby IF 45%, so Brondby IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Viborg and 1.5 for Brondby IF (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viborg are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.31 for Brondby IF. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +31.7%. This match finished 0-1.

Viborg vs Brondby IF Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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