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Temperley vs Midland Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 26 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 19:00

Temperley

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Midland

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.1%0-19.9%0-23.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.8%1-112.6%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.7%2-18.1%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.5%3-13.4%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.3% 40.8% 2.45 +15.9%

Draw 28.2% 38.2% 2.62 -15.7%

Away win 24.5% 30.3% 3.30 -11.5%

Over 2.5 42.7% 32.3% 3.10 +32.4%

Over 3.5 20.6% 15.4% 6.50 +20.3%

BTTS 47.6% 43.5% 2.30 +9.5%

Home O1.5 37.8% 30.8% 3.25 +22.9%

Away O1.5 17.9% 23.1% 4.33 -13.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 293 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -5.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.6%

H 47% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.8%

#2 0–0 13.1%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.7%

#5 0–1 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Temperley1.3

Midland0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TEMPERLEY · PPG 2.00

MIDLAND · PPG 1.00

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Temperley (H) 47.3%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +15.9%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -15.7%

Midland (A) 24.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -11.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Temperley face Midland in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Temperley a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Midland 25%, so Temperley are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Temperley and 0.8 for Midland (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Temperley are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Midland. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +32.4%. This match finished 2-1.

Temperley vs Midland Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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