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Ciudad de Bolívar vs Racing Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 26 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 18:30

Ciudad de Bolívar

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLDW

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Racing Cordoba

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.0%0-18.8%0-22.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.7%1-111.8%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.5%2-17.9%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.6%3-13.5%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-11.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% 40.8% 2.45 +16.1%

Draw 28.2% 38.2% 2.62 -15.7%

Away win 24.3% 30.3% 3.30 -11.9%

Over 2.5 38.0% 32.3% 3.10 +17.8%

Over 3.5 19.2% 15.4% 6.50 +14.9%

BTTS 43.6% 43.5% 2.30 +0.3%

Home O1.5 37.8% 29.4% 3.40 +28.5%

Away O1.5 16.9% 23.1% 4.33 -16.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 293 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -5.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob43.6%

H 47% / xG 1.3-0.6 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.7%

#2 0–0 14.0%

#3 1–1✓ 11.8%

#4 2–0 12.5%

#5 0–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ciudad de Bolívar1.3

Racing Cordoba0.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CIUDAD DE BOLÍVAR · PPG 1.17

RACING CORDOBA · PPG 0.50

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.71 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Ciudad de Bolívar (H) 47.4%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +16.1%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -15.7%

Racing Cordoba (A) 24.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -11.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ciudad de Bolívar face Racing Cordoba in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ciudad de Bolívar a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Racing Cordoba 24%, so Ciudad de Bolívar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ciudad de Bolívar and 0.6 for Racing Cordoba (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ciudad de Bolívar are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.50 for Racing Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +28.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Racing Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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