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Central Cordoba vs Sportivo Barracas Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 25 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 18:00

Central Cordoba

PPG 1.18 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Sportivo Barracas

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLDL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-112.8%0-25.8%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.8%1-113.5%1-26.1%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.8%2-17.1%2-23.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.7%3-12.5%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% 46.5% 2.15 -23.0%

Draw 28.9% 35.7% 2.80 -11.5%

Away win 35.3% 30.3% 3.30 +16.5%

Over 2.5 42.7% 36.4% 2.75 +17.4%

Over 3.5 20.6% 18.2% 5.50 +8.0%

BTTS 47.6% 42.0% 2.38 +13.3%

Home O1.5 30.6% 33.3% 3.00 -8.2%

Away O1.5 22.9% 23.1% 4.33 -0.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 89 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 61%

ROI -66.8%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.6%

D 29% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 14.1%

#3 1–1 13.5%

#4 1–0 14.8%

#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Central Cordoba1.0

Sportivo Barracas0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRAL CORDOBA · PPG 1.18

SPORTIVO BARRACAS · PPG 1.10

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.14, combined xG 1.96 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Central Cordoba (H) 35.8%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -23.0%

Draw 28.9%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -11.5%

Sportivo Barracas (A) 35.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +16.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Central Cordoba face Sportivo Barracas in Argentina - Primera C on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Central Cordoba a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Sportivo Barracas 35%, so Central Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Central Cordoba and 0.9 for Sportivo Barracas (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Central Cordoba are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.10 for Sportivo Barracas. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +21.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Central Cordoba vs Sportivo Barracas Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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