Today / Egypt - Premier League / Al Ahly vs Enppi

Al Ahly vs Enppi Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 17:00

Al Ahly

PPG 2.10 · HOME

LAST 5

WW ···

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Enppi

PPG 1.26 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLD ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.0% vs bookmaker-implied 45.5% — a clear edge.

+16.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-17.6%0-23.5%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.9%1-112.0%1-25.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.4%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.3%3-14.9%3-22.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-12.8%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.8% 71.4% 1.40 -27.5%

Draw 24.4% 25.0% 4.00 -1.4%

Away win 23.8% 11.8% 8.50 +61.4%

Over 2.5 50.2% 50.0% 2.00 +0.4%

Over 3.5 29.0% 28.6% 3.50 +0.9%

BTTS 53.0% 45.5% 2.20 +16.6%

Home O1.5 46.5% 61.7% 1.62 -24.7%

Away O1.5 25.0% 16.7% 6.00 +30.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.0%

H 52% / xG 1.6-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–0 12.9%

#3 2–0 10.1%

#4 2–1 9.4%

#5 0–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Ahly1.6

Enppi0.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AL AHLY · PPG 2.10

ENPPI · PPG 1.26

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Al Ahly (H) 51.8%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -27.5%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -1.4%

Enppi (A) 23.8%

ODDS 8.50 · IMPLIED 11.8% EV +61.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Ahly face Enppi in Egypt - Premier League on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Ahly a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Enppi 24%, so Al Ahly are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Al Ahly and 0.9 for Enppi (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Ahly are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 1.26 for Enppi. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +72.6%. This match finished 3-2.

Al Ahly vs Enppi Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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