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Yantra 2019 vs Sportist Svoge Prediction— Bulgaria - Second League

Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 17:00

Yantra 2019

PPG 1.68 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWD

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Sportist Svoge

PPG 1.04 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-18.4%0-23.1%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.4%1-112.1%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.7%2-18.6%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.6%3-14.1%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.2% 67.6% 1.48 -25.7%

Draw 26.5% 27.0% 3.70 -1.2%

Away win 23.4% 16.0% 6.25 +27.8%

Over 2.5 43.8% 47.6% 2.10 -8.0%

Over 3.5 23.4% 28.6% 3.50 -10.9%

BTTS 47.6% 46.9% 2.13 +1.4%

Home O1.5 40.0% 57.5% 1.74 -30.4%

Away O1.5 17.9% 18.0% 5.55 -0.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -20.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.6%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 16.4%

#2 1–1 12.1%

#3 0–0 11.4%

#4 2–0 11.7%

#5 0–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yantra 20191.4

Sportist Svoge0.7

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.8% · O3.5 PROB 23.4%

Form & verdict PPG

YANTRA 2019 · PPG 1.68

SPORTIST SVOGE · PPG 1.04

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.69 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Yantra 2019 (H) 50.2%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -25.7%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -1.2%

Sportist Svoge (A) 23.4%

ODDS 6.25 · IMPLIED 16.0% EV +27.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Yantra 2019 face Sportist Svoge in Bulgaria - Second League on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yantra 2019 a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Sportist Svoge 23%, so Yantra 2019 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Yantra 2019 and 0.7 for Sportist Svoge (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yantra 2019 are averaging 1.68 points per game versus 1.04 for Sportist Svoge. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +16.8%. This match finished 1-0.

Yantra 2019 vs Sportist Svoge Prediction— Bulgaria - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

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