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Jeddeloh vs VfB Lubeck Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 23 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 17:00

Jeddeloh

PPG 2.07 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

VfB Lubeck

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.8%0-21.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-03.4%1-15.2%1-23.9%1-32.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-05.0%2-17.6%2-25.8%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.9%3-17.5%3-25.7%3-32.9%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-07.4%4+-111.3%4+-28.6%4+-34.3%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.6% — — —

Draw 15.9% — — —

Away win 17.5% — — —

Over 2.5 82.1% — — —

Over 3.5 65.0% — — —

BTTS 73.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob73.9%

H 67% / xG 2.9-1.5 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 74%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.6%

#2 3–1 7.5%

#3 2–2 5.8%

#4 3–2✓ 5.7%

#5 4–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeddeloh2.9

VfB Lubeck1.5

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.1% · O3.5 PROB 65.0%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDDELOH · PPG 2.07

VFB LUBECK · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Jeddeloh (H) 66.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VfB Lubeck (A) 17.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeddeloh face VfB Lubeck in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeddeloh a 67% chance, the draw 16% and VfB Lubeck 18%, so Jeddeloh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Jeddeloh and 1.5 for VfB Lubeck (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeddeloh are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.29 for VfB Lubeck. This match finished 3-2.

Jeddeloh vs VfB Lubeck Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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