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Aragvi Dusheti vs Odishi 1919 Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 logo Georgia flag Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Regular Season - 8 Tsentraluri Stadioni· Dusheti Wednesday, April 22, 2026 17:00
Aragvi Dusheti logo Aragvi Dusheti PPG 2.00
2-1 HIT CS4
Odishi 1919 logo Odishi 1919 PPG 1.00
Home· +46.5% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Aragvi Dusheti face Odishi 1919 in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aragvi Dusheti a 59% chance, the draw 23% and Odishi 1919 18%, so Aragvi Dusheti are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Aragvi Dusheti and 0.9 for Odishi 1919 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aragvi Dusheti are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Odishi 1919. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +46.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.6%
Odds: 2.50 EV: +46.5%
Draw 23.3%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -25.4%
Away 18.1%
Odds: 2.50 EV: -54.8%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.4% Odds: —
Over 3.5 26.6% Odds: —
BTTS 47.6% Odds: 1.75 -16.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Aragvi Dusheti
1.75
Odishi 1919
0.86

Model Suggestion

Home +46.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 57%
ROI 50.7%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=58.6%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org