Today / Basel B vs Schaffhausen

Basel B vs Schaffhausen Prediction

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Basel B

PPG 1.85 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Schaffhausen

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.85) > Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.5%0-18.7%0-23.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.1%1-112.3%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.3%2-18.6%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.3%3-14.0%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-11.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.3% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 20.3% — — —

Over 2.5 36.7% — — —

Over 3.5 17.3% — — —

BTTS 40.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob40.1%

H 52% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.1%

#2 1–1 12.3%

#3 0–0 11.5%

#4 2–0 11.3%

#5 0–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Basel B1.4

Schaffhausen0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.7% · O3.5 PROB 17.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BASEL B · PPG 1.85

SCHAFFHAUSEN · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.85) > Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Basel B (H) 52.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Schaffhausen (A) 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Basel B face Schaffhausen on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Basel B a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Schaffhausen 20%, so Basel B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Basel B and 0.8 for Schaffhausen (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Basel B are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.38 for Schaffhausen. This match finished 2-1.

Basel B vs Schaffhausen Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions