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Lyon W vs Dijon W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Regular Season - 20 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 16:45

Lyon W

PPG 3.00 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Dijon W

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away GOOD (1.89) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-12.1%0-20.3%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.6%1-15.1%1-20.8%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-018.8%2-16.1%2-21.0%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-015.2%3-14.9%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-016.2%4+-15.3%4+-20.9%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 83.9% — — —

Draw 12.6% — — —

Away win 3.5% — — —

Over 2.5 51.6% — — —

Over 3.5 29.5% — — —

BTTS 25.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob25.3%

H 84% / xG 2.4-0.3 / O2.5 52% / NoBTTS 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 18.8%

#2 1–0 15.6%

#3 3–0 15.2%

#4 4–0✓ 9.2%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lyon W2.4

Dijon W0.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LYON W · PPG 3.00

DIJON W · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away GOOD (1.89) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Lyon W (H) 83.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 12.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dijon W (A) 3.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lyon W face Dijon W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lyon W a 84% chance, the draw 13% and Dijon W 4%, so Lyon W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Lyon W and 0.3 for Dijon W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 25% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lyon W are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.89 for Dijon W. This match finished 4-0.

Lyon W vs Dijon W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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