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Le Havre W vs Lens W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Regular Season - 20 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 16:45

Le Havre W

PPG 0.78 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Lens W

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.78) > Away POOR (0.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-18.7%0-26.0%0-32.8%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.7%1-112.0%1-28.3%1-33.8%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.0%2-18.3%2-25.8%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.8%3-13.9%3-22.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.8%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% — — —

Draw 25.4% — — —

Away win 37.2% — — —

Over 2.5 52.4% — — —

Over 3.5 30.2% — — —

BTTS 56.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob56.3%

H 37% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–0 8.7%

#3 0–1✓ 8.7%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 1–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Le Havre W1.4

Lens W1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.4% · O3.5 PROB 30.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LE HAVRE W · PPG 0.78

LENS W · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.78) > Away POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Le Havre W (H) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lens W (A) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Le Havre W face Lens W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Le Havre W a 37% chance, the draw 25% and Lens W 37%, so Le Havre W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Le Havre W and 1.4 for Lens W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Le Havre W are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 0.33 for Lens W. This match finished 0-1.

Le Havre W vs Lens W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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