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Baranovichi vs Dinamo Brest Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 11:00

Baranovichi

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLDW

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Dinamo Brest

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLDL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-19.8%0-210.0%0-36.8%0-4+5.5%1 1-04.8%1-19.8%1-210.0%1-36.7%1-4+5.5%2 2-02.4%2-14.9%2-25.0%2-33.4%2-4+2.7%3 3-00.8%3-11.6%3-21.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.3% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 55.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.9% — — —

Over 3.5 36.8% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 55.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -48.9%

Bet Hit 27%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.8%

#2 0–2 10.0%

#3 1–2 10.0%

#4 0–1 9.8%

#5 2–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baranovichi1.0

Dinamo Brest2.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.9% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BARANOVICHI · PPG 1.00

DINAMO BREST · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.03 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Baranovichi (H) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dinamo Brest (A) 55.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Baranovichi face Dinamo Brest in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baranovichi a 23% chance, the draw 21% and Dinamo Brest 55%, so Dinamo Brest are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Baranovichi and 2.0 for Dinamo Brest (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baranovichi are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.89 for Dinamo Brest. This match finished 1-1.

Baranovichi vs Dinamo Brest Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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