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Fleury W vs Strasbourg W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Regular Season - 20 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 16:45

Fleury W

PPG 1.33 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Strasbourg W

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.2%0-111.8%0-24.6%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.8%1-113.1%1-25.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.3%2-17.2%2-22.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.4%3-12.7%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.1% — — —

Draw 31.4% — — —

Away win 25.6% — — —

Over 2.5 29.2% — — —

Over 3.5 12.3% — — —

BTTS 36.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob36.2%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 29% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.8%

#2 0–0 15.2%

#3 1–1 13.1%

#4 0–1 11.8%

#5 2–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fleury W1.1

Strasbourg W0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.2% · O3.5 PROB 12.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FLEURY W · PPG 1.33

STRASBOURG W · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away GOOD (1.56)

Win probability 1X2

Fleury W (H) 43.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Strasbourg W (A) 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fleury W face Strasbourg W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fleury W a 43% chance, the draw 31% and Strasbourg W 26%, so Fleury W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Fleury W and 0.8 for Strasbourg W (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fleury W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.56 for Strasbourg W. This match finished 3-1.

Fleury W vs Strasbourg W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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