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Estonia - Meistriliiga logo Estonia flag Estonia - Meistriliiga Regular Season - 8 A. Le Coq Arena· Tallinn Wednesday, April 22, 2026 16:00
Flora logo Flora PPG 2.25
6-0 MISS
Narva Trans logo Narva Trans PPG 0.00
Away· +3.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.2%
Odds: 1.40 EV: -11.5%
Draw 19.1%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -19.8%
Away 17.8%
Odds: 5.80 EV: +3.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 45.1% Odds: —
BTTS 61.4% Odds: 1.62 -0.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 3-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Flora
2.30
Narva Trans
1.15

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 39%
ROI -3.3%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

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