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Vejle BK vs Silkeborg Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Relegation Group · Matchday 28 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 16:00

Vejle BK

PPG 0.93 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWW

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Silkeborg

PPG 0.85 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 64% chance

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 70.3% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a clear edge.

+13.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-14.6%0-24.0%0-32.4%0-4+1.5%1 1-05.0%1-18.7%1-27.6%1-34.5%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.7%2-18.2%2-27.2%2-34.2%2-4+2.7%3 3-02.9%3-15.1%3-24.5%3-32.6%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-13.7%4+-23.3%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.7% 42.0% 2.38 -0.8%

Draw 21.8% 28.2% 3.55 -22.6%

Away win 36.5% 37.0% 2.70 -1.5%

Over 2.5 70.3% 61.7% 1.62 +13.9%

Over 3.5 49.2% 39.2% 2.55 +25.5%

BTTS 70.1% 67.6% 1.48 +3.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob70.1%

H 42% / xG 1.9-1.8 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 1–2✓ 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 3–1 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vejle BK1.9

Silkeborg1.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.3% · O3.5 PROB 49.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VEJLE BK · PPG 0.93

SILKEBORG · PPG 0.85

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

64%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away POOR (0.85)

Win probability 1X2

Vejle BK (H) 41.7%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -0.8%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -22.6%

Silkeborg (A) 36.5%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -1.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vejle BK face Silkeborg in Denmark - Superliga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vejle BK a 42% chance, the draw 22% and Silkeborg 37%, so Vejle BK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Vejle BK and 1.8 for Silkeborg (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vejle BK are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 0.85 for Silkeborg. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +25.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Vejle BK vs Silkeborg Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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