Today / Denmark - Superliga / FC Kobenhavn vs Odense BK

FC Kobenhavn vs Odense BK Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Relegation Group · Matchday 28 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 16:00

FC Kobenhavn

PPG 1.23 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Odense BK

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 71% chance

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 79.5% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a clear edge.

+19.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-12.4%0-22.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-03.7%1-16.2%1-25.2%1-32.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-04.7%2-17.9%2-26.7%2-33.7%2-4+2.3%3 3-04.0%3-16.8%3-25.7%3-33.2%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-18.0%4+-26.7%4+-33.8%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.8% 61.7% 1.62 -8.0%

Draw 18.5% 23.8% 4.20 -22.3%

Away win 24.6% 21.1% 4.75 +16.9%

Over 2.5 79.5% 66.7% 1.50 +19.3%

Over 3.5 61.2% 45.5% 2.20 +34.6%

BTTS 75.1% 66.7% 1.50 +12.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob75.1%

H 57% / xG 2.6-1.7 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1✓ 7.9%

#2 3–1 6.8%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 1–1 6.2%

#5 3–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Kobenhavn2.6

Odense BK1.7

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 61.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FC KOBENHAVN · PPG 1.23

ODENSE BK · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

71%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.23), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

FC Kobenhavn (H) 56.8%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -8.0%

Draw 18.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -22.3%

Odense BK (A) 24.6%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +16.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Kobenhavn face Odense BK in Denmark - Superliga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Kobenhavn a 57% chance, the draw 19% and Odense BK 25%, so FC Kobenhavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for FC Kobenhavn and 1.7 for Odense BK (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Kobenhavn are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.00 for Odense BK. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +34.6%. This match finished 2-1.

FC Kobenhavn vs Odense BK Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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