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Deportes Rengo vs General Velásquez Prediction— Chile - Segunda División

Relegation Group · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 20:00

Deportes Rengo

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWDW

1 – 1

FULL TIME

General Velásquez

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.3%0-19.5%0-23.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.3%1-112.4%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.3%2-18.1%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.9%3-13.5%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.3% 36.4% 2.75 +32.8%

Draw 28.1% 34.5% 2.90 -11.1%

Away win 23.6% 43.5% 2.30 -27.4%

Over 2.5 42.0% 46.5% 2.15 -9.7%

Over 3.5 20.6% 26.9% 3.72 -14.0%

BTTS 47.6% 55.6% 1.80 -14.3%

Home O1.5 37.8% 36.2% 2.76 +4.3%

Away O1.5 17.9% 40.8% 2.45 -33.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 24%

O2.5 32%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.6%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.3%

#2 0–0 13.3%

#3 1–1✓ 12.4%

#4 2–0 11.3%

#5 0–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportes Rengo1.3

General Velásquez0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.0% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTES RENGO · PPG 1.67

GENERAL VELÁSQUEZ · PPG 0.75

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportes Rengo (H) 48.3%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +32.8%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -11.1%

General Velásquez (A) 23.6%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -27.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportes Rengo face General Velásquez in Chile - Segunda División on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportes Rengo a 48% chance, the draw 28% and General Velásquez 24%, so Deportes Rengo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Deportes Rengo and 0.7 for General Velásquez (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportes Rengo are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.75 for General Velásquez. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +13.2%. This match finished 1-1.

Deportes Rengo vs General Velásquez Prediction— Chile - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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