Today / Chile - Segunda División / Santiago Morning vs Colina
Santiago Morning vs Colina Prediction— Chile - Segunda División
Relegation Group · Matchday 2 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 16:00
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
D 33% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.9% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%
Form & verdict
SANTIAGO MORNING · PPG 0.83
COLINA · PPG 0.83
xG gap -0.10, combined xG 1.81 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Santiago Morning face Colina in Chile - Segunda División on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Santiago Morning a 35% chance, the draw 33% and Colina 32%, so Santiago Morning are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Santiago Morning and 1.0 for Colina (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Santiago Morning are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 0.83 for Colina.