Today / Zvolen vs S. Bratislava B

Zvolen vs S. Bratislava B Prediction

Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Zvolen
PPG 1.58 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
S. Bratislava B
PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.58) > Away POOR (0.83)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-14.3%0-22.1%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.4%1-19.3%1-24.6%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.9%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.1%3-17.1%3-23.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-16.2%4+-23.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 63.7%
Draw 19.9%
Away win 16.5%
Over 2.5 60.5%
Over 3.5 38.2%
BTTS 55.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.5%

H 64% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.0%
#2 2–1 9.9%
#3 1–0 9.4%
#4 1–1 9.3%
#5 3–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zvolen2.1
S. Bratislava B1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 38.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ZVOLEN · PPG 1.58

S. BRATISLAVA B · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.58) > Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Zvolen (H) 63.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 19.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
S. Bratislava B (A) 16.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zvolen face S. Bratislava B on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zvolen a 64% chance, the draw 20% and S. Bratislava B 17%, so Zvolen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Zvolen and 1.0 for S. Bratislava B (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zvolen are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 0.83 for S. Bratislava B. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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